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Archive for February, 2010

Alternate Ways to Fund U.S. Transportation System (RAND Corporation)

Friday, February 12th, 2010

Alternate Ways to Fund U.S. Transportation System (RAND Corporation)

Congress should take the opportunity provided by the pending reauthorization of the federal transportation bill to consider new ways to fund the U.S. transportation system, shifting from indirect fees such as fuel taxes to ones that charge drivers directly for the miles they travel, according to a report by RAND Corporation researchers.

The report, which focused on the strengths and limitations of alternate mechanisms for adopting mileage-based road use fees, was requested by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials and prepared for the National Cooperative Highway Research Program of the Transportation Research Board, a division of the National Research Council.

“Failure to raise fuel taxes in recent years to keep pace with inflation and improved fuel economy has created significant transportation funding shortfalls at the federal and state levels,” said Paul Sorensen, lead author of the report and an operations researcher at RAND, a nonprofit research organization.

“The prospect of more fuel-efficient conventional vehicles and alternative-fuel vehicles in the coming decades—though clearly beneficial in terms of the environment and energy security—threatens to make funding challenges worse,” Sorensen said. “Shifting from fuel taxes to mileage-based road use fees would help to overcome this problem, and there are several promising options for implementing such a shift.”

Currently, the United States charges various direct and indirect user fees such as fuel taxes, road tolls, vehicle registration fees and truck weight fees to build new roads, repair existing roads and make other necessary improvements. The idea is to charge more to those who benefit from the transportation system and those who also impose costs on the system by using it.

But the federal gasoline tax has not increased since 1993 and as vehicles become increasingly fuel-efficient, the amount of money needed to maintain the transportation system has fallen woefully short. Since 1980, the total number of vehicle miles traveled in the United States has doubled, but fuel consumption has only increased by 50 percent. Many state and federal officials now are looking to a more comprehensive system of direct user fees to replace the current revenue system.

One option being considered is to use technology to charge drivers on the basis of vehicle miles of travel (VMT). Oregon already has completed a VMT-fee system pilot project and the University of Iowa is managing ongoing trials in 12 cities across the United States.

While the principal goal of such a system would be to preserve or raise revenue, there are other potential advantages. Agencies could charge a higher per-mile rate for driving on crowded roads during peak hours, helping to reduce congestion by encouraging travelers to shift some of their trips to less congested roads or times of travel. Agencies also could charge different rates for different types of vehicles; for example, low-emissions vehicles could pay less per mile than highly polluting vehicles.

Most VMT-fee proposals envision the use of sophisticated in-vehicle metering equipment, which might be phased in as consumers buy new vehicles. Sorensen said most of the options he and his colleagues considered face one or more significant drawbacks or uncertainties that would argue against immediate implementation for all vehicles on a national scale. However, with some additional research and planning efforts, some options could be put into place starting in 2015 to help meet the nation’s urgent transportation funding needs.

RAND researchers found three options offered the most promise: estimating mileage based on fuel consumption; metering mileage based on a device that combines cellular service and a connection to an on-board diagnostics port; and metering mileage based on a device featuring a global positioning system receiver. Systems that rely on self-reported odometer readings or annual odometer inspections were found to be unreliable and too difficult or expensive to administer and enforce.

The report suggests that real-world trials of these options could be funded now, to determine which system ultimately will have the best combination of accuracy, cost-effectiveness and ease of implementation.

Martin Wachs, director of the Transportation, Space, and Technology Program at RAND, said another major concern for policymakers will be privacy issues.

“Even though people’s movements can now be tracked to some extent through their cellular phone records, law enforcement officials often need a court order to access that data,” Wachs said. “Consumers will be understandably concerned about on-board devices tracking their vehicle’s position and movement, and will want safeguards as to what kinds of data are recorded and who has access to that information.”

Liisa Ecola, another co-author of the RAND report, said that there is no guarantee that instituting fees based on vehicle miles traveled or subsequent efforts to increase VMT fees to keep pace with inflation will be any less controversial than increasing fuel taxes. Also, the collection of VMT fees will likely be more costly and more burdensome than the collection of fuel taxes.

“However, it’s clear that the present system isn’t working and fees based on vehicle miles traveled, if properly implemented, could result not only in more money to support the nation’s transportation system, but also spread the cost burden in a more fair and equitable way,” Ecola said.

The report, “Implementable Strategies for Shifting to Direct Usage-Based Charges for Transportation Funding,” can be found at www.rand.org.

Other authors of the study are Max Donath and Lee Munnich of the University of Minnesota and Betty Serian of Betty Serian Associates. The report was prepared for the National Cooperative Highway Research Program of the Transportation Research Board, under subcontract with ICF International.

The research was conducted by RAND’s Transportation, Space & Technology Program, a part of the RAND Infrastructure, Safety and Environment division. The division’s mission is to improve development, operation, use and protection of society’s essential built and natural assets; and to enhance the related social assets of safety and security of individuals in transit and in their workplaces and communities.

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The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit research organization providing objective analysis and effective solutions that address the challenges facing the public and private sectors around the world.
Wednesday
February 10, 2010

Indiana Plans New Tolls, Tax (Bond Buyer)

Friday, February 12th, 2010

Indiana Plans New Tolls, Tax (Bond Buyer)
$10B of Projects for Indianapolis Area

CHICAGO — A central Indiana task force yesterday unveiled a nearly $10 billion regional transportation plan that recommends imposing a local sales tax and building express toll lanes to help keep Indianapolis competitive in the Midwest.

The group proposes creating a bond-issuing authority to oversee the regional transportation system and entering into public-private partnerships whenever possible to help to mitigate costs.

The task force, a private-sector collaboration of the Greater Indianapolis Chamber of Commerce, the Central Indiana Corporate Partnership, and the Central Indiana Community Foundation, has spent the last year studying the region’s system.

It unveiled its recommendations yesterday in downtown Indianapolis and said it plans to spend 2010 holding public meetings to refine the plan and setting up a body to govern the new system. In 2011 the group hopes to begin lobbying state lawmakers to put a sales tax proposal on the ballot.

“This will be the year for a discussion,” Mayor Greg Ballard said at the press conference where the plan was released. “This is not a take-it-or-leave-it proposal.”

The plan would tap into the current $8.9 billion, 25-year roadway expansion plan, deferring about $600 million of previously planned local road projects and shifting that money to other transportation infrastructure projects.

Additional costs would be covered by imposing a local sales tax of 0.35% to 0.50% on top of the state’s current 7% tax.

“For over 60 years, our transportation strategy has focused almost entirely on building more and better highways, a strategy that produced both notable benefits and shortcomings,” the group noted in a report outlining its proposal. “Continuing our current transportation strategy will not adequately meet our needs in an increasingly competitive world.”

Building express toll lanes on state highways running through Indianapolis would cost $21 million and $13.2 million annually to operate — but would bring in more than $29 million annually, generating a surplus that could be used for other projects, the group estimated. Drivers could opt to pay a toll to use the express lanes, which would have the added benefit of easing congestion.

An expanded bus and rail system would cost $2.4 billion to build, plus $107 million to operate annually. Riders would pay for about 20% of annual operating costs, and $56 million would come from the existing IndyGo bus system. New revenue from the local sales tax would generate the rest, the group said. The rail system would feature new light-rail and passenger trains along existing freight rails.

The new system would create 4,500 new jobs and more than $27 billion in economic development, as well as a 4% increase in property values for buildings located near rail service in Marion County, the task force said.

The state funds its transportation costs with local, federal, and state sources, but the group focused on local funding, which currently pays for 60% of capital costs and more than 90% of operating costs.
Thursday, February 11, 2010

By Caitlin Devitt

US Senate lawmakers unveil long-awaited jobs bill (Reuters)

Friday, February 12th, 2010

US Senate lawmakers unveil long-awaited jobs bill (Reuters)
Thu, Feb 11 2010
* Rare bipartisan support, but scope limited

* Action delayed by snowstorm, partisanship

* Business tax breaks, construction funds (New throughout with Obama, Reid)

By Andy Sullivan and Thomas Ferraro

WASHINGTON, Feb 11 (Reuters) – Democratic U.S. senators unveiled a limited jobs-creation bill on Thursday that relies on business tax breaks and construction projects to bring down a stubbornly high unemployment rate.

With a nervous eye on the November congressional elections, President Barack Obama and his Democratic allies on Capitol Hill have floated a wide range of job-creating proposals to help the economy recover from the deepest recession in 70 years.

But with their agenda frozen by partisan gridlock and a record-setting snowstorm, Senate Democrats opted for a relatively narrow $15 billion effort that they hope will win quick passage — rather than a more costly measure that could get stalled.

“We feel that the American people need a message. The message that they need is that we’re doing something about jobs,” Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, in a tough campaign for re-election back home in Nevada, said after a meeting with fellow Democrats.

With no votes scheduled for Thursday and a weeklong recess looming, Senate floor action on the bill was put off until the week of Feb. 22.

Their supermajority gone after a surprise Republican victory in last month’s Massachusetts Senate race, Democrats now need at least one Republican vote to pass legislation.

TWO FROM THE GOP

The bill incorporate provisions crafted with the help of two Republicans on the tax-writing Finance Committee, Charles Grassley and Orrin Hatch.

The bill would also include tax credits to encourage businesses to buy new equipment, subsidies for state and local construction bonds, and money to shore up a highway-construction fund.

The bill’s $15 billion cost will be offset by closing unspecified tax loopholes, a Democratic aide said.

The Senate later will take up other proposals such as a tax break for research and development, Reid said.

“We don’t have a jobs bill, we have a jobs agenda. And we’re going to move forward on that jobs agenda,” Reid said.

Though Democrats want to show struggling voters that they are helping boost the economy, they also face a growing voter backlash for the hundreds of billions of dollars in deficit spending they approved last year to blunt the recession’s impact.

Thus the series of smaller bills could avoid the sticker shock that accompanied last year’s $787 billion stimulus package, as well as the $155 billion jobs package passed by the more liberal House of Representatives in December that emphasizes construction spending and direct aid to states.

Despite its relatively narrow scope, the bill could face resistance from both the left and the right.

Republican Senator Judd Gregg has said the construction money is wasteful and its actual $19.5 billion cost is hidden by accounting gimmicks. His staff released a memo on Wednesday suggesting that he could use budget rules to defeat the bill.

Meanwhile, many liberals question the effectiveness of Hatch’s tax credit for businesses that hire people who have been unemployed for at least 60 days.

That approach would cost between $56,000 and $125,000 in lost tax revenue for every full-time job created, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.

(Editing by Philip Barbara and Jackie Frank)

Jobs Bill Likely to Be Delayed in Senate (Wall Street Journal)

Thursday, February 11th, 2010

Jobs Bill Likely to Be Delayed in Senate (Wall Street Journal)

WASHINGTON—U.S. Senate Republicans on Tuesday balked at Democratic efforts to push an economic stimulus measure through the chamber by the end of the week, making it likely that the Senate will wait at least until the week of Feb. 22 to vote on the roughly $80 billion package.

“It’s a cake that isn’t quite baked yet,” said Senate Minority Whip Jon Kyl (R., Ariz.), following a Senate nominations vote.

“Not enough of our members have had an opportunity to review it, for a consensus that would permit us to move forward on it that quickly,” he added.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D., Nev.), had announced earlier Tuesday that despite another snowstorm rolling through the Washington region, he hoped to bring the jobs-creation bill for a vote by the end of the week.

Both the Senate and the House are in recess the week of Feb. 15 due to the Presidents’ Day holiday.

Democratic leaders were still weighing procedural options late Tuesday. But with 15 senators absent from Tuesday’s vote because the weekend snowstorm impeded their travel, it didn’t appear that Democrats had the numbers to limit debate and push the bill to a vote without Republicans on their side.

Several Republicans are expected to ultimately support the measure, but senators indicated Tuesday they simply wanted more time.

“I don’t think that’s intellectually honest, and I think people back home would say to you that to respond to it that quickly is not good public policy,” said Sen. George Voinovich (R., Ohio).

A second storm is on its way up the Eastern Seaboard after a blizzard of historic proportions dumped up to two feet of snow on Washington over the weekend. The latest predictions are for another 10 to 20 inches of snow.

If the Senate is closed Wednesday, that would leave only two days for lawmakers to complete work on the jobs package. Given the partisan rancor that has left the Senate gridlocked, that is a very short amount of time for the Democratic majority to push through a major piece of legislation.

Mr. Reid said Tuesday the job-creation measure will include a one-year extension of the highway trust fund, a tax credit for employers that hire new workers, a separate tax break for small-business owners and an expansion of “Build America Bonds” that provide tax-friendly vehicles for state and local governments to raise funds for infrastructure investments.

The Senate bill is likely to expand the tax-credit bond program, which was created by last year’s economic stimulus legislation, so that municipalities could use them for school construction and clean-energy projects, according to a draft version of the bill that was circulating Tuesday.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R., Ky.) said that members of his party hadn’t seen the Democratic proposal, and that he wanted a chance to discuss it with them.

The bill is also expected to include a one-year extension of expired tax breaks for businesses, including the research tax credit, tax breaks for the film industry and the active financing exception for firms’ overseas profits, according to the draft.

Senators are also folding in provisions to partly offset the bill’s cost. Those include closing a loophole that could allow pulp and paper firms to claim a tax credit for cellulosic ethanol, anti-tax-evasion measures targeting offshore accounts, and a measure to allow some firms to delay payments to defined-benefit pension plans.

The Senate bill could also include a short-term patch to Medicare’s physician payment formula, which must be adjusted in order to avoid steep decreases in Medicare reimbursements to doctors. If the formula remains unchanged, the payment rate would drop by roughly 21% in March.

The length of time of that extension was one of the final details under discussion Tuesday, said people close to negotiations.

House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D., Md.) Tuesday said the House won’t hold any votes this week or next, and would return on Feb. 22.

By MARTIN VAUGHAN, PATRICK YOEST And COREY BOLES
Write to Martin Vaughan at martin.vaughan@dowjones.com, Patrick Yoest at patrick.yoest@dowjones.com and Corey Boles at corey.boles@dowjones.com

Senate Set to Extend SAFETEA-LU (Journal of Commerce)

Thursday, February 11th, 2010

Senate Set to Extend SAFETEA-LU (Journal of Commerce)

Second bill to transfer $20 billion to Highway Trust Fund
Senators are expected within the next two weeks to introduce legislation to sustain surface transportation spending, John Horsley, executive director of the American Association of State Highways and Transportation Officials, said Tuesday.

Senators Barbara Boxer, D-Calif., and James Inhofe, R-Okla., chairman and ranking member of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, told industry representatives that they will offer two measures, Horsley said. One will extend the existing transportation program known as SAFETEA-LU through the end of calendar 2010. The second will transfer $20 billion from general revenue to the Highway Trust Fund to keep it solvent.

Horsley said the two measures will likely appear as part of a larger tax package that the Senate will consider. The Senate is also working on a jobs program “in which transportation investment is expected to be a major component.”

Horsley said he didn’t know how much of the jobs package would go to surface transportation, but he hoped that it would be close to the $27.5 billion for highway and $8.4 billion for transit that the House approved in December.

AASHTO released a report on the first anniversary of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. Horsley said that $23.8 billion of the $26 billion for highway projects had been obligated by states for construction projects. States also obligated $7.2 billion of the $8.4 billion that the recovery act dedicated to transit. All told, states launched 11,000 projects employing 280,000 people. Thirty percent of the projects came in under engineers’ estimates.

“We’re delivering value,” Horsley said. “Thousands of projects have been delivered. The states’ success in delivering on the Recovery Act highway and transit dollars is quite remarkable.”

Contact R.G. Edmonson at bedmonson@joc.com.
R.G. Edmonson | Feb 9, 2010 10:57PM GMT
The Journal of Commerce Online – News Story

NCBOT Meeting 2/3/2010

Monday, February 8th, 2010

Jim Humphrey with the City of Charlotte attended the February NC Board of Transportation Meeting and summarized the higlights below:

Certain portions of the meeting were spent educating new members. Highlights include:

NCDOT Project Delivery Process and Interagency Leadership Team- Debbie Barbour (NCDOT) and John Sullivan (FHWA) presented info to Planning and Environment Committee. The project delivery process included the merger process which has improved project delivery timelines by lessening the chance of serious disagreements with permitting agencies late in the process. The Interagency Leadership Team includes high level staff of NCDOT and partner agencies. It’s goals include 1-Develop shared GIS, 2-Partner to integrate local land use plans, long range transportation plans, environmental and ED planning to meet mobility, environment and economic goals and, 3-Improve the project delivery process. A trial GIS project is underway which is expected to demonstrate benefits.

Piedmont Authority for Regional Transportation (PART)- Brent McKinney (PART) gave a presentation of services and needs of his agency. He did an excellent job explaining the business/economic case for transit services which was well received by the Multimodal Committee. During discussion, some members of the committee stated an earlier commitment made during consideration of the State Transportation Plan to increase transit funding from 1.8% of the state transportation budget to 12% and that this had not happened.

I-440 Fencing- Kevin Lacy and Cliff Brown (NCDOT) discussed analysis and corrective action that took place after a good Samaritan jumped over a bridge fence to his death. The presentation was to the Safety and Emerging Issues Committee.

Randolph County Rest Area and Visitor’s Center- A presentation was made highlighting the safety benefits of rest areas, “green features” of this particular center and the public/private finance/operation of the visitor’s center.

Reform Efforts Related to BOT- Jim Trogden (NCDOT) presented info regarding concurrent efforts within NCDOT to reform the role and operation of the Board of Transportation, These include what he called the three “P’s”-Policy, Planning and Performance. Policy initiatives included ethics, finance and mobility, audit, land use and environment, intergovernmental and professional development. Planning included revision of the 25 year plan, development of the 5 and 10 year transportation plans, innovation and performance of the statewide system of transportation. Performance included monitoring of financial status and more work by the board in making policy decisions to improve project delivery as opposed to making project decisions. Jim indicated that staff and the board are looking at other ways to improve interaction such as changing meeting frequency, establishing more or different board work groups and having occasional meeting outside Raleigh.

Ethics- Fleming Bell (UNC School of Government) presented info on “Ethics Laws that Every Government Officer, Employee and Contractor Should Know”.

Financial Overview- Mark Foster (NCDOT) gave a “Finance 101″ presentation indicating where DOT revenues come from and how they are spent. He indicated they do not expect revenues to return to the 2007 level (a peak year) until 2014 or later.

Program Evaluation Division report to be basis for ABC change debate (Wilmington Star News)

Monday, February 8th, 2010

Program Evaluation Division report to be basis for ABC change debate (Wilmington Star News)

State leaders plan to use a year-old evaluation report as the starting point for discussions on reforming the N.C. Alcoholic Beverage Control system.

The December 2008 report from the legislature’s Program Evaluation Division recommends a number of reforms for the alcohol system – which the report called “outdated” – and suggests the state explore other options for handling liquor, including privatization.

But officials say that would be a complex undertaking that shouldn’t be rushed. So while some ABC reform will likely happen after legislators head back to Raleigh in May, privatization probably won’t.

“I would be surprised if we could have an intelligent, instructive debate on it in 45 days,” said Rep. Pryor Gibson, a Democrat who has worked extensively on the state liquor laws, and despite recent problems, believes the ABC system works well for the state.

“Privatization is a big word,” he added.

Two groups – Gov. Beverly Perdue’s Budget Reform and Accountability Commission and a soon-to-be-formed legislative study committee – are looking into reforming the current system, with an eye to correcting some of the pay and ethics scandals that erupted in Wilmington and Charlotte in recent months.

Norris Tolson, co-chairman of the governor’s budget committee, said the 2008 report will likely be a centerpiece of the committee’s recommendations, which are expected in March.

That report said the ABC system needs to be modernized, specifically by better defining the missions of local boards (are profits or “controlling” sales more important?) and giving the state commission authority to set performance standards and work with local boards to increase profits.

Tolson said the governor’s committee is studying privatization, but it “has no legs under it at this point.”

Schorr Johnson, a spokesman for Senate leader Marc Basnight, said the 2008 report will also be the “starting point” for legislative efforts to reform the ABC system.

Johnson said Basnight has been working closely with House Speaker Joe Hackney to put together a study committee, and that appointments will likely be announced in a few weeks.

“Reforming the ABC system is a priority for Sen. Basnight in the short session,” he said. “He wants to look at having more oversight at the very least.”

But is privatization even politically feasible?

North Carolinians are divided whether they want privately-owned liquor stores on their street corners, according to a recent poll by the Civitas Institute.

The poll surveyed 600 likely voters, and 47 percent said keep the ABC system and 44 percent said liquor sales should be privatized, according to the results. Of those surveyed, 9 percent said they were not sure. The margin of error was 4 percent.

While many residents in Wilmington – where people are outraged by high salaries and bonuses for local ABC leaders – may clamor for privatization, there are many parts of the state that support the “control” aspect of the system, believing it helps prevent underage drinking, drunk driving and other social ills caused by alcohol.

“You cannot paint all of North Carolina with the same ABC brush,” Gibson said. “There’s not going to be any way at all to get a one-size-fits-all solution to this.”

Others support control for religious reasons.

Rev. Mark Creech, director of the Christian Action League of North Carolina, said he will fight to protect the ABC system from privatization.

North Carolina ranks 45th out of 50 states in per capita alcohol consumption, but ranks 7th in revenue generated by liquor sales, according to the ABC system’s annual report for 2008. That’s worth saving, Creech said.

“I don’t think we could have a better system than what we’ve got that strikes that balance between providing revenue for the state and also protecting the public health,” he said.

He doesn’t think privatization will be seriously considered in 2010, but it could become a major issue in the future.

Some say the largest barrier to change is plain and simple politics.

“The major obstacle to privatization is local political pull,” said John Hood, president of the John Locke Foundation, which supports privatization.

State government gives the more than 160 local ABC boards wide latitude to operate as they see fit. In many ways, local governments have much more sway over their liquor stores because they appoint the local boards.

In addition, local governments get a cut of ABC profits, which helps elected leaders at budget time when they are forced to consider unpopular tax increases.

While local governments in other states get alcohol money too, and Hood and other privatization supporters say North Carolina could devise a system to keep money flowing to local governments, any changes that create the perception that locals could lose money would make it difficult, if not impossible, for local politicians to stomach.

“Many local governments believe they get more revenue because of the control system,” Hood said. “I think its more perception than reality.”

What’s clear is that both supporters and opponents of the control system will be paying close attention. While proponents don’t believe there’s enough support to tear it down, privatization supporters say refusal to take up the issue would be a missed opportunity.

“Fundamentally, North Carolina government should not be in the liquor business,” said Hood. “What you get right now is poor service, high prices and political corruption.”

Staff writer Shannan Bowen contributed to this report.

Chris Mazzolini: 343-2223

On Twitter.com: @StarNewsOnline

By Chris Mazzolini
Chris.Mazzolini@StarNewsOnline.com

Published: Saturday, February 6, 2010 at 3:30 a.m.

Privatization of state’s ABC system is risky business (Wilmington Star News)

Monday, February 8th, 2010

Privatization of state’s ABC system is risky business (Wilmington Star News)

Could a one-time windfall of up to $700 million be attractive enough to win state leaders over to privatizing North Carolina’s liquor industry?

That money could fund government projects, such as transportation needs, or supplement other aspects of the state’s budget. It would require, however, a move considered financially and socially risky by some and perhaps the most momentous change the governor’s budget reform committee could recommend.

That group, officially dubbed the Budget Reform and Accountability Commission, is researching an assortment of options for revising the state’s government controlled alcohol industry, and privatization would potentially yield the most revenue in a one-time windfall compared to other options, according to research presented to the governor in October.

Further research about all options, including reformed control policies, quasi-control and privatization, is expected to be presented to the governor at next month’s commission meeting. And, if commission members have researched other states’ methods and studies by several groups, both slanted and not, they’re likely to present ideas about privatization that rest on both ends of the spectrum.

Following the money

The most significant change in moving from a controlled model to a private one is the amount of revenue a state would bring in, said Dr. William Kerr of the Alcohol Research Group, a nonprofit organization of the Institute of Public Health charged with researching alcohol-related issues.

Kerr completed a study last year called “The Effects of Privatization of Alcohol Control Systems” at the request of the National Alcohol Beverage Control Association, which supports alcohol control systems by providing research and addressing alcohol sale and consumption policies. He said the report was unbiased and was based on research on revenues, alcohol consumption and other factors.

Kerr said a state monopoly system, such as North Carolina’s, would yield more revenue per gallon of alcohol sold compared to a licensed model. “In the absence of a dramatic tax increase, which seems politically improbable, states would lose millions of dollars in revenues,” his report said. “For example, if Pennsylvania’s revenues fell to the license-state average revenue per gallon of $15.47 instead of the current $53.40 per gallon, the state would lose over $200 million per year at a similar level of spirit sales.”

But Leonard Gilroy, director of government reform for Reason Foundation, a public policy think tank in support of privatization, said a state could actually gain more in revenue if analyzing all pieces of the system. He said many states that have moved to privatizing parts of alcohol systems enacted a revenue-neutral plan to ensure the state would maintain the same amount of revenue generated by alcohol sales as it did when fully controlled.

“The reality is that you have to look at the entire operation,” Gilroy said. He added that taxes and new revenue from either selling or auctioning licenses for retailers to sell alcohol would continue to yield revenue for the state. States also would benefit by selling the state-run industry assets, such as property, state distribution warehouses and state-issued vehicles or other items used in the alcohol industry.

North Carolina’s Office of State Budget and Management reported in October the state would maintain similar prices and consumption rates of alcohol by moving to a revenue-neutral system in which retail licenses are auctioned. According to that report, the state could receive a first-year windfall of $150 million to $500 million and wouldn’t sustain any annual local losses or increases.

Social concerns

But would moving to a private model increase alcohol-related problems?

According to Kerr’s research, alcohol is more available in states where private retailers have licenses to sell spirituous liquors.

Call that a good thing for those who want more access and longer hours to buy liquor, but the Alcohol Research Group’s report said increased availability would also increase drunken driving and underage consumption.

Kerr said retailers controlled by the state typically are professionally trained to detect and prevent purchases by those underage.

He added that a state-run oversight board, such as North Carolina’s Alcohol Beverage Control Commission, would help reduce marketing aimed at youth.

“If a product appears marketed to kids, they might be quicker to spot something like that and not allow it to be sold,” Kerr said.

Gilroy, on the other hand, suggests that statistics based on per capita population counts do not reflect a correlation between increased alcohol-related problems and privatization.

“There’s no difference between control states and privatized states,” he said.

Mixed philosophies

A state doesn’t necessarily have to choose between being fully privatized or controlled. Several states, including some considered “control” states, operate with mixed methods.

All 50 states regulate the sale and distribution of alcoholic beverages to some extent by either controlling the distribution and sale of liquor, licensing suppliers or imposing taxes.

West Virginia, for example, is considered one of the nation’s 18 control states. The other 32, with Maryland having two counties considered controlled, allow retailers to have private licenses.

West Virginia privatized the retail sector of its alcohol industry in 1991, but the state maintains control over the distribution of liquor through a state-run warehouse, similar to North Carolina’s state distribution warehouse in Raleigh. West Virginia’s alcohol control administration also sets the markups for spirituous liquor, but allows flexibility for retailers to set their own prices in addition to the markup, said Gig Robinson, spokesman for the West Virginia Alcohol Beverage Control Administration.

Other states with hybrid models include Vermont, Alabama and Idaho, which have both private stores and state agency stores, said Steve Schmidt, vice president of public policy and communications for the National Alcohol Beverage Control Association.

Schmidt said some states contract some stores to private retailers who then operate them according to state standards.

Exclusive to N.C.

North Carolina controls the wholesale and retail of spirituous liquor, like several other states, but it’s the only state where local governments appoint a board to operate retail stores. There are 107 ABC boards that control more than 160 state stores.

For more than a century, North Carolina has had control in one form or another over its alcohol industry. In 1908, it was the first southern state to enact prohibition of alcohol, and even after prohibition was repealed in 1933, state leaders enacted a local option to maintain government control over the sales and distribution process of spirituous liquors.

That created the state’s Alcohol Beverage Control, and since then things haven’t changed much more than a tweak here and there in the law.

Gov. Beverly Perdue has taken the first steps in modifying that system in what appears to be a response to revelations of high salaries paid to administrators in New Hanover County and lavish dinners paid for by liquor representatives and accepted by ABC employees across the state.

Chrissy Pearson, the governor’s press secretary, said analyzing the state’s ABC system actually was on the governor’s mind “for quite some time, even before the scandals that have come out in the news.”

She said the governor has requested an evaluation of the current ABC system, and the budget reform committee is expected to make a presentation of its research to the governor at its March 10 meeting.

That report, if prepared by the meeting, will include the options of privatization, whether or not the committee will actually recommend that, said Norris Tolson, co-chairman of the commission.

Pearson said the governor wants to examine all ramifications of each option before taking any stance.

She said although some have called loudly for privatization, the governor can’t make that call until all research is presented.

“At this point she is looking at all the options, but she is looking at them carefully,” Pearson said. “She is not quick to judge.”

Shannan Bowen: 343-2016

On Twitter.com: @shanbow
By Shannan Bowen
Shannan.Bowen@StarNewsOnline.com

Published: Saturday, February 6, 2010 at 3:30 a.m.

Slow economic recovery predicted (Durham Herald Sun)

Friday, February 5th, 2010

Slow economic recovery predicted

DURHAM — North Carolina’s economy, like the country’s, appears to have bottomed out and is poised for what’s likely to be a slow recovery from the recession, an N.C. State University economist said Wednesday.

Employment should starting picking up soon, but the state “will be lucky” to add 40,000 jobs in 2010, economics professor Michael Walden told city and county managers from around the state in Durham Wednesday for an annual seminar.

The recovery of a consumer-driven economy is likely to be slow-paced because families will devote more of their money over the next couple years to paying down the debts they incurred while they could borrow against rising home values, Walden said.

Most forecasts suggest the recovery nationally will take three to four years, he said.

Walden nonetheless voiced optimism, predicting this state’s economy would grow faster than the national average as demand for manufactured goods returns.

“Looking at the state analytically, I would be hard pressed — hard pressed — to find a state that’s better positioned and has better prospects for future economic growth than North Carolina,” he said. “All states are facing the same issues, but we have a great ability to tackle those issues and deal with whatever the future economy is going to throw at us.”

Walden followed Gov. Beverly Perdue to the podium at Wednesday’s conference.

Like the economist, Perdue stressed it will take time to get unemployment, incomes and facets of the economy back to what they were before the recession took hold in 2008.

“This recovery is going to be slow. It’s going to be very hard,” Perdue said. “You at the local level are going to have to understand, just like we do at the state level, that things are not over yet. The challenges have only just begun.”

Walden has become one of the go-to people for local government administrators who, budgeting in mind, are eager to get a handle on economic trends.

Durham City Manager Tom Bonfield called him in a year ago to address the City Council at a budget planning retreat, and he offered a briefing elected officials said afterward heavily influenced their thinking.

Walden is also well regarded by the state’s conservatives. He has penned numerous articles for the John Locke Foundation, a Raleigh think tank linked to former Republican legislator Art Pope.

Regardless of that tie, Walden said he thought the federal government had acted appropriately in 2008 and 2009 to cushion the economy.

He noted that the Bush administration was responsible for some $950 billion in tax cuts and bailouts, to go with close to another $800 billion in economic stimulus from the Obama administration.

The Federal Reserve has matched them, pumping up the money supply by some $2 trillion.

Comparatively, “more resources have been spent fighting this recession than were spent during the [1930s],” during the Roosevelt administration’s efforts to combat the Great Depression, Walden said.

But the collapse of the housing market and other problems that caused a 20 percent, $11 trillion reduction in the citizenry’s on-paper wealth demanded such an aggressive counter, he said.

“I agree with the view we were at the edge, we were right there, and were going to fall off,” Walden said, referring to the crisis that unfolded in 2008. “The combined efforts of both administrations pulled us off the edge.”

The problem federal officials face now is deciding when to pull back some of their efforts to stimulate the economy, lest it trigger a round of inflation, he said.

Walden expects the Federal Reserve to take the lead on that, and believes the country has a two- to three-year window before inflation might assert itself.

Repeating what he told the Durham council a year ago, Walden said the Federal Reserve’s attempts to quell an unprecedented housing bubble by raising interest rates helped trigger the crash.

Economists there and on Wall Street didn’t anticipate that bubble-busting measures would cause housing prices nationally to retreat, he said. Rather, they saw price increases continuing, but at moderate, historic rates of 2 to 3 percent annually.

The housing collapse “is why this recession has been so different from other recessions,” as it has undermined bank and family balance sheets alike, he said.

By Ray Gronberg

gronberg@heraldsun.com; 419-6648

Sen. Larry Shaw Becomes 7th Dem to Not Seek Re-Election for N.C. Senate (Associated Press)

Friday, February 5th, 2010

Sen. Larry Shaw Becomes 7th Dem to Not Seek Re-Election for N.C. Senate (Associated Press)

Sen. Larry Shaw, a Democrat from Cumberland County, who also served a term in the House, brings to seven the number of Senate Democrats since last fall who have resigned or said they won’t run for re-election.

RALEIGH, N.C. — Another veteran Democrat in the state Senate won’t return after 2010 as Sen. Larry Shaw announced Thursday he won’t seek an eighth two-year term. The decision means the Legislature will lose its only openly practicing Muslim.

Shaw, a Democrat from Cumberland County who also served a term in the House, brings to seven the number of Senate Democrats since last fall who have resigned or said they won’t run for re-election. The candidate filing period begins Monday.

Shaw, 60, didn’t give a specific reason for stepping aside, and he wasn’t immediately available for comment Thursday, according to a person who answered the phone at his Fayetteville home. Shaw said in a news release he plans to keep working with the family business — he’s the owner of a food services company — and “in the international faith communities.”

Shaw last year was named chairman of the Council on American-Islamic Relations, a civil rights group. The council said Shaw was the country’s highest-ranking Muslim elected official before 2006.

“It has been a privilege and a sacrifice from family and associates to serve the greater good of society,” Shaw said. “My public service duty has been fulfilled and now the torch of community servitude must be passed on.”

Sen. Ellie Kinnaird, who joined the Senate with Shaw in 1997, said his presence has encouraged openness about differing faiths and has been a great example to his colleagues. After the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, Kinnaird said Shaw helped bring an imam to the Senate chamber to lead prayer to open a daily session.

“They are able to see that Muslims are good citizens and have a great deal to contribute not only to our discourse, but to everything that we do,” said Kinnaird, D-Orange.

Shaw also spoke out in support of a 2007 ruling that allows any religious text, including the Quran, to be used to swear in witnesses or jurors in North Carolina courtrooms. He’s also a strong supporter of charter schools and a moratorium of the death penalty.

“Time and again, Larry has been a voice of conscience in the Senate and contributed to a broader and richer world view for us all,” Senate leader Marc Basnight, D-Dare, said in a news release.

Other previously announced departures by Senate Democrats include Majority Leader Tony Rand, who resigned Dec. 31 to run the state parole commission. Sen. David Hoyle, a finance committee co-chairman, and Sen. R.C. Soles, a 41-year veteran of the Legislature indicted last month on an assault charge for a shooting at his home, also won’t run for re-election.

The moves have given hope to Senate Republicans for making gains this November in a chamber they haven’t controlled since the late 1890s and where they currently hold 20 of the 50 seats.

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